The current rising rate environment disincentivizes issuer redemption by reducing the value of existing loans and increasing the required coupon on newly securitized classes. Past NQM securitizations have been generally called within a year of becoming eligible for redemption, which aligns with senior class investors' expectations, but extension is more likely without protections from structural mechanisms, such as step-up coupons. While the redemption of these transactions and the re-securitization of these loans may be deferred over the near term, that delay will only apply to a portion of the increasingly more numerous redeemable loans and may not extend beyond 2023, assuming market conditions stabilize.įurther, given low expected prepayment rates over the near term, delays in redemptions will compound the volume of loans eligible to reenter the market down the road, as the 20 securitizations also become eligible for redemption.
We also examine certain factors that have and may continue to forestall such redemptions, such as investor expectations, transaction-level nuances, and current market factors. KBRA releases research which discusses how the RMBS market created the conditions for a glut of seasoned Non-QM loans which may reenter the securitization market in the future via redemption activity. While non-QM lenders can still originate loans that may share qualities with past subprime mortgages, the game is not the.
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